Wednesday, July 11, 2007

One year ago...

One year ago, Nassrallah decided to cross the international border between Lebanon and Israel and kidnap two soldiers. Unfortunately, he did not know the consequences of his actions, or so he claimed...

On that day Hezbollah’s supporters were offering Lebanese sweets to passersby, in celebration of the kidnapping. The celebrations did not last long. For at eight PM that day, Israel started a war that lasted for 34 days, bombing and destroying large areas under hezbollah’s control.

After this war a vicious controversy erupted, Hezbollah claimed victory, claiming that Israel failed to accomplish any of its proclaimed results: destroying Hezbollah and returning he soldiers. On the other hand, Israel claimed that Hezbollah’s agenda and capabilities were severely harming because the United Nations peacekeeping forces in the south were bolstered by a factor of ten and Hezbollah main forces retreated behind the UN area of control (south of the litany river). And because of the destruction of most of Hezbollah’s long and medium range missiles and all of their bunkers and reinforcements along the borders, and the death of more than 400 fighters of Nassrallah’s men.

In reality however, nothing changed, both parties lost some and gained some. Meanwhile war drums echo, once more, behind the horizon. I believe that a year ago we only witnessed another battle in a very long war...

5 comments :

Anonymous said...

Bob,

I really hope that you are wrong....

Meir

Anonymous said...

Check this out.

http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=cBZczJw3u6w

http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=3jtsJgFePB8

http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=1KvQHMiUyCM

Parts 1-3 of recent BBC Doco on Hezbollah. It's hot.... you should make a link on the blog to this film.

Anonymous said...

what is the percentage of each religion in Lebanon and what is the formal power of HA in the goverment?

BOB said...

Meir

i hope so too...

Tweezle

thank you for the link, they look interesting haven't check them all to tell you my opinion yet.

Anonymous
That is the million dollar question. we haven't had a official census since 1932.
but approximately there is around 30% Sunni Muslims, 35% Shiite Muslims, 5% druze and 30% Christians.

and the trend is for more Muslims in general (especially shiites) and less chrisitans and druze...

HA before this crisi was represented by 2 ministers plus two others by its Shiite ally Amal movement (followers of nabih Berri the speaker of parliament, who acts mainly as a figuerhead of HA)
and with Berri they control around 20 MPs in the Lebanese parliament and Berri has a lot of followers all over the public services and ministries (mainly shiite)

hope that was of help

Anonymous said...

Tweezle,

Thanks for the link.

It was very educating to watch this.

It really makes me wonder how come the Lebanese government does not do anything about the fact that a second army is running inside the country and feel comterble to stop the country officers and soldiers, disarm them and interrogate them.

In a way this army is violating the country independence not less then the claims towards to Israel and fatah el islam.

Is it fear that prevent from Lebanon to stop this chaos of weapons for all and private armies?
or is there another reason?

It makes me wonder what could have been the situation without Iran and Syria sending weapons to these illegal armies and kill "peace oriented" politicians.

Meir