Thursday, November 01, 2007

The three scenarios!

As events are racing towards a clash ( Lebanon presidential election due by 24 November, Iran nuclear activities, Israel flexing its muscles, Syria playing around…) I cannot help but to offer the likeliest scenarios concerning the fate of Lebanon’s election.

The most likely scenario is a presidential election with an absolute majority quorum, by the 14 March coalition. The opposition, claiming that the quorum should be the two third of all MPs, threatened revolution and coup d’état if the 14 March government try to go through such a presidential election.

The second scenario, a bit less likely, would be a void, the president will not be elected and Prime Minster Siniora’s government will take charge of presidential powers.

The third scenario would be a miracle, a consensual president, and frankly I do not see this happening.

Now let us hear what you have to say and which scenario you think will happen.

1 comment :

Anonymous said...

The CORRECT thing would be for the MP's to return to parliament and elect a president by simple majority as prescribed by the constitution. This on the basis that Nabhi Berri actually performs his functions and calls parliament to session.

The most likely scenario is a "one time" extension of the time period in which to elect a president. At which point everyone gets so fed up/frustrated/scared with the conduct and behaviour of these jackasses that a large TOOL is elected.

Our bronzed Adnonis George Hamilton rides off into the sunset towards damascus totally content and fully beleiving that his time in the pool and in the presidential chair was well spent and the best 7 years in the lives of every single friggin lebanese!

THAT would be "divine justice"...for our ignorance and stupidity.

Everyone lives...

Ayesh Lubnan

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