Thursday, November 09, 2006

The current situation


The two main coalitions in the Lebanon (the 14th of March and Hezbollah and its allies) are at a deadlock, regarding the expansion of the council of ministers to include Aoun and to give HA (Hezbollah and its allies) veto power over the government and its decisions.

The leaders of the two parties have been meeting in the parliament in an effort to find a solution that will solve this crisis that could explode in the streets, if left simmering in the next week or so…

The official thorny issue is the blocking third. Lebanon’s constitution states that a third plus one of the council of ministers can block the government’s functions and even cause its resignation ( if a third plus one ministers resign, then the government is desolved)

Of course the 14th of March coalition, which currently holds more than two third of the ministers, is refusing any talks of giving HA this blocking third, linking the whole issue to the removal of the current present (considered pro Syrian.) While Hezbollah, Aoun and Berri consider a blocking third the minimum they can agree to (they hinted of early parliamentary election and massive demonstrations if the expansion of the government is refused.) and refuse any talk about removing the president…

There is no solution visible on the horizon, as trust between the two factions is at a record low. It looks like the country is heading for a confrontation by opposed demonstration and civil disobedience…